This was a really great interview. I always read things about how the Russian economy was "overheating" but that doesn't mean anything to me. This was much more informative, giving clarity and shedding light on the true situation of Russia's finances. I just hope it's not overly optimistic.
Putin's crunch time is long overdue. When he has to decide between scaling down military spending, mobilisation and raising taxes, the rocks and the hard places will move in closer to him until there's nowhere left to move.
I just have one more question. Milov said he doubts the 30,000 figure is true. So with this article, we have sort of answered the question of what is going to happen to Russia's economy. But that doesn't answer what will happen with Russia's troop shortages (if there are any).
Realistically, the questions I would like to see answered with a similarly detailed explanation would be: "How many men is Russia actually recruiting per month, how many are they actually irrecoverably losing and how long can they keep that up until either a second mobilisation or direly understrength units loom?"
Very insightful overview on the Russian economy. I knew most of the aspects discussed and had guessed on others but this drew the various components into a single narrative. Unfortunately its impact on the war will be limited as l doubt Ukraine can last another 12 months. It might however influence any negotiations if Putin thinks he may have to fight for another 12 months. If he doesn’t his demands will be maximalist anyway. He won it just was very expensive
Ukraine can last for decades more, even if they have to resort to guerrilla warfare (which was the original plan, and they will do it if they have to). Russia blows up before August 2025 at the latest. However, it would be better for Ukrainian people if they didn't have to resort to guerrilla warfare
Seems like the Russian government can finance the war into 2026. The Russian companies may face bankruptcy în 2025 and there will be shortages of different products. The population will start to fell the pressure at the end of 2025.
Excellent. This is all stuff I strongly suspected from doing tons of reading, but it's really great to see it laid out so clearly all in one place and confirmed.
This was a really great interview. I always read things about how the Russian economy was "overheating" but that doesn't mean anything to me. This was much more informative, giving clarity and shedding light on the true situation of Russia's finances. I just hope it's not overly optimistic.
Putin's crunch time is long overdue. When he has to decide between scaling down military spending, mobilisation and raising taxes, the rocks and the hard places will move in closer to him until there's nowhere left to move.
I just have one more question. Milov said he doubts the 30,000 figure is true. So with this article, we have sort of answered the question of what is going to happen to Russia's economy. But that doesn't answer what will happen with Russia's troop shortages (if there are any).
Realistically, the questions I would like to see answered with a similarly detailed explanation would be: "How many men is Russia actually recruiting per month, how many are they actually irrecoverably losing and how long can they keep that up until either a second mobilisation or direly understrength units loom?"
Excellent, informative piece. Well written & easy to follow.
Thanks for the share
Thank you for sharing.
Very insightful overview on the Russian economy. I knew most of the aspects discussed and had guessed on others but this drew the various components into a single narrative. Unfortunately its impact on the war will be limited as l doubt Ukraine can last another 12 months. It might however influence any negotiations if Putin thinks he may have to fight for another 12 months. If he doesn’t his demands will be maximalist anyway. He won it just was very expensive
Ukraine can last for decades more, even if they have to resort to guerrilla warfare (which was the original plan, and they will do it if they have to). Russia blows up before August 2025 at the latest. However, it would be better for Ukrainian people if they didn't have to resort to guerrilla warfare
Seems like the Russian government can finance the war into 2026. The Russian companies may face bankruptcy în 2025 and there will be shortages of different products. The population will start to fell the pressure at the end of 2025.
So Ukraine still facem 6-12 hard months.
Excellent!
Excellent. This is all stuff I strongly suspected from doing tons of reading, but it's really great to see it laid out so clearly all in one place and confirmed.