8 Comments
Oct 23, 2023Liked by Frontelligence Insight

I really much prefer this format to trying to follow along on Twitter.

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Really clear, professional analysis. Thank you.

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Oct 23, 2023Liked by Frontelligence Insight

Thank you.

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Thank you for your work, I really appreciate it. But I m working on another topic. I can´t handle the slaughtering in Gaza. I m not Anti Israel, Anti Netanyahu yes. Anybody help me sharing the horrific reality for civilians and so many children's around the world.

https://open.substack.com/pub/anonski/p/jabalia-gaza?r=2vn2rm&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web

Very graphic and it hurts, yet it is happening. Please share.

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Questions.

[1] No.88~95 can not be identified as vechicles.

[2] Ukraine counterattacks are confirmed at least 2 times with several vechile losses. How did you identify those are russian losses?

[3] Both Ukr & Rus army attacked south of Avdiivka (near Sjeverne) with losses, footages are confirmed but these images show only 4 losses in total.

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author
Oct 24, 2023·edited Oct 24, 2023Author

1) Not only can these vehicles be identified through SAR imagery, but there are also corresponding geolocated videos. Here are just a few of them:

https://twitter.com/klinger66/status/1715329514429915349

https://twitter.com/TonyaLevchuk/status/1715219862870433904

https://twitter.com/klinger66/status/1715309039704273177

2) We didn't include Ukrainian vehicle losses, there are also very few of them. Russian losses can be easily identified using several parameters:

- Vehicle type, if recognizable

- Direction of movement (track marks on the ground can indicate the origin of movent, path and direction)

- Geolocated drone videos

It's possible that some vehicles were misidentified, but as we mentioned in the assessment, the overall error is unlikely to exceed ~7%.

3) We also addressed this issue in the assessment. Due to insufficient imagery coverage in that area, we couldn't adequately cover it or provide proper analysis.

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Hello,

We do not have a comparative analysis of Ukrainian losses, because it seems like russians disproportionally use large number of vehicles, and we don't have a good way to spot or tell infantry losses.

Regarding the second part of your question, delving into it would necessitate an extensive and separate research effort akin to a PhD thesis. At this point, we are not prepared to dedicate such an in-depth focus to such a specific topic, at least not at this time.

There is a noticeable absence of public discourse surrounding mistakes done by the Ukrainian side. Even in times of war, it is crucial to maintain a degree of public accountability. Without it, the risk of losing wars increases

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About the size of the brigade, but it doesn't seem to be enough to halt the offensive operation

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